Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001797 0.001877 0.001959 0.002052 0.002153 0.002261 0.002385
2025-06-01 0.001645 0.001755 0.001874 0.002013 0.002174 0.002355 0.002578
2025-06-08 0.001574 0.001708 0.001858 0.002042 0.002263 0.002526 0.002871
2025-06-15 0.001511 0.001662 0.001836 0.002055 0.002330 0.002673 0.003149
2025-06-22 0.001443 0.001603 0.001791 0.002034 0.002348 0.002755 0.003352
2025-06-29 0.001381 0.001545 0.001742 0.002002 0.002347 0.002808 0.003516
2025-07-06 0.001335 0.001505 0.001711 0.001988 0.002365 0.002888 0.003728
2025-07-13 0.001268 0.001435 0.001639 0.001916 0.002298 0.002836 0.003727
2025-07-20 0.001236 0.001407 0.001618 0.001909 0.002319 0.002913 0.003942
2025-07-27 0.001215 0.001391 0.001612 0.001922 0.002367 0.003036 0.004255
2025-08-03 0.001186 0.001364 0.001589 0.001908 0.002375 0.003095 0.004465
2025-08-10 0.001170 0.001353 0.001586 0.001923 0.002427 0.003229 0.004844
2025-08-17 0.001145 0.001330 0.001568 0.001915 0.002445 0.003311 0.005148
2025-08-24 0.001117 0.001301 0.001540 0.001892 0.002438 0.003349 0.005367
2025-08-31 0.001108 0.001298 0.001548 0.001922 0.002515 0.003548 0.006027
2025-09-07 0.001095 0.001288 0.001546 0.001936 0.002568 0.003709 0.006662
2025-09-14 0.001072 0.001265 0.001523 0.001917 0.002566 0.003761 0.007017
2025-09-21 0.001047 0.001238 0.001494 0.001889 0.002544 0.003773 0.007257
2025-09-28 0.001029 0.001220 0.001477 0.001877 0.002550 0.003841 0.007709
2025-10-05 0.000995 0.001179 0.001427 0.001812 0.002459 0.003696 0.007373
2025-10-12 0.000980 0.001165 0.001415 0.001806 0.002471 0.003772 0.007878
2025-10-19 0.000972 0.001159 0.001414 0.001817 0.002515 0.003927 0.008783
2025-10-26 0.000957 0.001143 0.001398 0.001805 0.002515 0.003981 0.009313